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The Invest in Tomorrow Coalition says it plans to spend $15 million to oppose Republicans in seven U.S. House races. Its targets include incumbents Lauren Boebert, Scott Perry and Victoria Spartz, as well as four challengers. The PAC has reported success in primaries, but several of its general-election targets are considered likely to win, and the effect of its spending remains uncertain.

The Invest in Tomorrow Coalition says it will spend $15 million to defeat Republicans in seven U.S. House races, naming three sitting members and four challengers as targets in the general elections. The spending marks a bigger test for the clean-energy-focused super PAC after its reported success in primary contests, where its candidates were already viewed as vulnerable.

The targets are Republican Reps. Lauren Boebert of Colorado, Scott Perry of Pennsylvania and Victoria Spartz of Indiana, along with challengers Mike Beltran of Florida, Anthony Constantino of New York, Brandon Herrera of Texas and David Flippo of Nevada. According to Canary Media, the coalition announced its planned spending last week. It has not disclosed a full breakdown of how the $15 million will be allocated among the seven races.

The coalition has also detailed a $2 million advertising buy targeting Spartz. The ads focus on healthcare funding and accuse her of using her office for personal enrichment, rather than centering on her position on clean-energy tax credits. Those criticisms are allegations made in campaign advertising, not findings established by the reported information.

Canary Media reported that the three targeted incumbents voted last year to end Biden-era renewable-energy tax credits. The coalition says its effort is aimed at lawmakers it considers opponents of clean energy. Its chair, Tom Matzzie, said the campaign would make Spartz’s record an issue for voters in Indiana’s 5th District.

At a glance
announcementWhen: Announced in the weeks before Election…
The developmentThe clean-energy super PAC Invest in Tomorrow Coalition named seven Republican House candidates it will target with a planned $15 million general-election effort.

A Costly Test Beyond the Primaries

The spending puts clean-energy policy into a set of competitive congressional races, while also showing how a super PAC may frame that issue for general-election voters. The Spartz ad buy illustrates a campaign strategy that connects the PAC’s broader clean-energy goals to other criticisms of an incumbent’s record. In this case, the advertised message emphasizes healthcare and alleged self-enrichment rather than directly arguing about tax credits.

The races could matter to control of the House. Canary Media reported that even a small number of defeats among the targeted Republicans could benefit Democrats as they seek to win the chamber. That potential outcome is not assured: the article describes some races as competitive but also says several targets are expected to win. The PAC’s spending is one factor in those contests, and the available information does not establish how much it will affect voters or results.

The stakes for the coalition are also different from those in its earlier primary campaigns. Primary wins can show that a group has helped shape a contest, but they do not by themselves demonstrate that its spending caused the result. In the general election, the coalition is taking on candidates with varying levels of vulnerability and will have to compete against the campaigns and other outside spending in each district.

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From Primary Wins to House Targets

Invest in Tomorrow Coalition launched earlier this year and is a super PAC, an outside political group that can spend to influence elections. Its name shares initials with the now-defunct investment tax credit for solar and wind development, according to Canary Media. The group says it is focused in part on lawmakers linked to ending federal clean-energy incentives.

The coalition’s earlier targets were in primary races. Canary Media described its primary record as successful, while cautioning that those candidates were already in vulnerable positions and that the PAC’s role in their outcomes is difficult to determine. One example in the report was Rhode Island Gov. Dan McKee, who was facing political pressure over a bridge-construction problem when the PAC criticized his clean-energy record.

For the general-election targets, the report presents a mixed picture. It says Herrera, Spartz and Boebert are expected to win, despite noting controversies around some candidates. Polling was described as indicating that Beltran and Perry could lose, while a controversy over where Flippo lives was reported to have made him vulnerable. These assessments are not election results, and the report does not provide polling figures or dates.

“Attacking American energy now comes with a real political cost.”

— Tom Matzzie, chair of the Invest in Tomorrow Coalition

Spending Impact Still Unproven

The coalition has announced a $15 million plan, but the available report does not specify the full spending schedule, the amounts assigned to six of the seven races, or whether the group will revise its plans. The $2 million Spartz buy is the clearest race-specific figure provided.

It is also unclear how much the PAC’s money will change the candidates’ prospects. The article reports polling and political circumstances that make some races more competitive, but offers no detailed survey results, methodology or polling dates. Nor does it establish that the coalition’s spending determined the outcomes of its earlier primary targets. Ad accusations about Spartz’s conduct remain claims by the campaign unless independently substantiated.

The report does not provide Election Day results, and the races remain unresolved. It also does not establish how the targeted candidates’ positions or campaigns may change in response to the PAC’s ads.

Ads and Election Results Ahead

The coalition’s announced next step is to run its $2 million ad campaign against Spartz and spend toward the six other named contests before Election Day. The group has said voters in Indiana’s 5th District will hear its case against her; details of the timing, platforms and reach of the ads were not included in the report.

The next clear measure of the effort will be the general-election results in the seven districts. Until then, additional spending announcements, candidate responses and updated polling may offer a fuller picture of how competitive the races are, but none can establish the PAC’s electoral effect on its own.

Key Questions

Which candidates is the super PAC targeting?

It named Republican Reps. Lauren Boebert, Scott Perry and Victoria Spartz, plus challengers Mike Beltran, Anthony Constantino, Brandon Herrera and David Flippo.

How much does the coalition plan to spend?

The Invest in Tomorrow Coalition announced a planned $15 million effort across seven U.S. House races. It separately disclosed a $2 million ad buy targeting Spartz. The report does not give a full allocation for the other races.

Why is the group targeting these Republicans?

The coalition says it is fighting opponents of clean energy. Canary Media reported that the three targeted incumbents voted last year to end Biden-era renewable-energy tax credits. The PAC’s ads against Spartz, however, focus on healthcare funding and allegations about her use of office.

Has the PAC shown that its spending changes election outcomes?

That has not been established. Canary Media reported the group had success with its primary targets but said those candidates were already vulnerable and the PAC’s role in the results is difficult to prove. The effect of its general-election spending remains unknown.

Source: rss

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